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The four-card task provides an example of how


A) good we are at reasoning about syllogisms.
B) good we are at reasoning about conditional statements.
C) poor we are at reasoning about conditional statements.
D) poorly we perform on inductive tasks.

E) None of the above
F) All of the above

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An inductive judgment is one in which a person


A) tries to make predictions about upcoming events on the basis of evidence already available.
B) tries to make a cause-and-effect judgment about an observed state of affairs.
C) begins with a general statement and asks what other specific claims follow from this.
D) begins with specific facts or observations and seeks to draw a general conclusion from them.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Background knowledge can lead to mistakes, but it can also provide a benefit if


A) the person is aware of heuristics.
B) the knowledge is about how the parts of the problem are related.
C) the person is very confident in his or her knowledge.
D) it contains descriptive information.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and D)

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Training in statistics


A) can help us make use of quick, efficient heuristics rather than slower, more effortful thinking.
B) improves participants' abilities to make judgments so that judgment errors will be less likely.
C) improves participants' abilities to make judgments but only when they are trained in an abstract way.
D) provides many benefits but seems not to teach students how to make more accurate judgments.

E) A) and C)
F) A) and D)

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In using the representativeness heuristic, participants


A) extrapolate from a sample of evidence if the category is homogeneous but not if the category is heterogeneous.
B) are sensitive to the sample size and draw conclusions more readily from a large sample.
C) seem to assume that all instances of the category resemble the prototype for that category.
D) are unable to discriminate actual patterns of covariation.

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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When thinking about the likelihood of events, humans are better able to make judgments based on information presented as ________ than as ________.


A) percentages; fractions
B) abstract ideas; concrete examples
C) frequencies; probabilities
D) probabilities; frequencies

E) B) and C)
F) None of the above

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Describe one situation in which your friend, Marcus, might show evidence of monetary risk aversion and another example in which he would show monetary risk seeking.

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Participants are told, "Hospital A has an average of 45 births per day; Hospital B has an average of only 15 births per day." The participants are then asked, "Which hospital is more likely to have a day in which at least 60% of the babies born are female?" In answering the question, participants


A) seem insensitive to the fact that departures from the average case are more likely with a small sample.
B) seem insensitive to the fact that departures from the average case are more likely with a larger sample.
C) correctly realize that departures from the average case are not dependent on hospital size.
D) answer in a fashion governed by the law of small numbers.

E) B) and D)
F) All of the above

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Marissa believes that clowns are evil. She meets two men who are very nice and then learns that they are clowns. Despite this, she does not adjust her belief and continues to think clowns are evil. This is called


A) confirmation bias.
B) deductive reasoning.
C) inductive reasoning.
D) belief perseverance.

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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Patrick has sustained damage to his orbitofrontal cortex, but his twin brother, Ben, has not. Which of the following statements is most likely to be true about these two brothers?


A) Patrick will take more risks than Ben.
B) Ben will take more risks than Patrick.
C) Both will take risks equally.
D) Ben will take fewer risks, but they will be more extreme than Patrick's risks.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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In one experiment, participants were asked to list either 6 or 12 instances in their lives when they were assertive. Which of the following statements is FALSE about the participants who were asked to list only 6 instances?


A) Overall, they rated themselves as less assertive.
B) They had an easier time fulfilling the task.
C) They were given an easier task than the 12-instance participants.
D) They relied on the availability heuristic when making their decision.

E) All of the above
F) B) and C)

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Which of the following is NOT an example of a frequency judgment?


A) "You've only worn that shirt once since I gave it to you!"
B) "I am certain that he is bluffing."
C) "There certainly are a lot of pizzerias in this neighborhood."
D) "The number of truly caring physicians is getting smaller and smaller."

E) B) and D)
F) A) and D)

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Studies indicate that participants


A) always neglect base-rate information.
B) overutilize base-rate information even if other compelling information is presented.
C) make sensible use of base-rate information if no other information is available.
D) tend to integrate base-rate information with diagnostic information.

E) B) and D)
F) A) and D)

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According to the work of Tversky and Kahneman (1987) , people are ________ when dealing with potential losses, but are ________ when dealing with potential gains.


A) risk seeking; risk averse
B) risk averse; risk seeking
C) risk seeking; risk seeking
D) worried; excited

E) B) and D)
F) A) and B)

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"I can easily think of the names of several dishonest politicians, so I'm certain there are a lot of dishonest politicians!" This is an example of a judgment relying on


A) illusory covariation.
B) representativeness.
C) anchoring.
D) the availability heuristic.

E) A) and B)
F) B) and D)

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People often make logical errors. Create a real-world example that illustrates the error in this categorical syllogism: All X are Y. All A are X. Therefore, all A are X.

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Real-world example of the error in this ...

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Which of the statements below would complete the following syllogism in a way to make it valid?: All busy people are stressed out. All professors are busy.


A) Therefore, all professors are stressed out.
B) Therefore, all busy people are professors.
C) Therefore, all stressed-out people are professors.
D) Therefore, you should not become a professor.

E) A) and D)
F) All of the above

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In one study, participants were shown a film about a family on welfare and then asked for their opinions about welfare. Prior to viewing the film, half of the participants were told that the film showed a highly unusual case. The other participants were told that the film showed a quite typical case. After viewing the film, participants were asked their opinions about welfare. On the basis of other evidence, we would expect to find that


A) both groups of participants were influenced equally by the film.
B) neither group of participants was influenced by the film.
C) participants who were told that the case was unusual were less influenced by the film than those who viewed the typical case.
D) participants who were told that the case was unusual were not influenced by the film.

E) A) and C)
F) B) and D)

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Evidence from the four-card task suggests all of the following EXCEPT that


A) generally people are poor at solving this task.
B) changing the problem into something with a more real-world validity improves performance on this task.
C) as with inductive reasoning, performance on deductive tasks varies based on the form of the problem.
D) problem solving about conditional statements is difficult to improve.

E) A) and D)
F) None of the above

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Heuristics are strategies that


A) sometimes risk error in order to gain efficiency.
B) are underused, despite their advantages.
C) protect us from overestimating the frequency of real-life events.
D) ensure step-by-step procedures for finding correct conclusions.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and B)

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